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Diehard Hokie

Joined: 10/07/1999 Posts: 3716
Likes: 2494


How to get a natty...


I looked back at the last six NCAA team champions - Penn State in '14 and '16-19, and Ohio State in '15 - to see how their guys placed in claiming their championships. Here's how it shook out:

1st place - anywhere from 2 to 6 per championship team... 3.5 is about average
2nd place - anywhere from 0 to 3 per championship team... 1.5 is about average
3rd place - anywhere from 0 to 1 per championship team... 0 is about average
4th place - none of the past six champions has had a 4th place finisher... 0 is the average
5th place - anywhere from 0 to 2 per championship team... 1 is the average
6th place - anywhere from 0 to 1 per championship team... 0 is about average
7th place - anywhere from 0 to 2 per championship team... 1 is about average
8th place - anywhere from 0 to 1 per championship team... 0 is about average
No place - anywhere from 1 to 5 per championship team... 3 is about average

So to win a natty we are likely to need ~5 guys to make the finals and have ~3 win it. We'll also need a couple of other All-Americans. Certainly we can win it other ways, but that is on average what Penn State has been doing the last six years.

Can anybody project a lineup at some point over the next 3-4 years or so that could produce:

7 All-Americans
5 Finalists
3 Champs

- or at least something close to it?

Posted: 06/17/2020 at 12:54PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
How to get a natty... -- Diehard Hokie 06/17/2020 12:54PM
  Hinges on the 2022 recruiting class imo -- Rokie08 06/17/2020 8:12PM
  Thinking the same thing Rokie ... -- KCDale 06/17/2020 8:40PM
  Regarding your last sentence, -- dallasvt 06/18/2020 01:17AM
  I don't think -- KCDale 06/18/2020 05:33AM
  I'll try -- VPIGUY 06/17/2020 5:22PM
  Yea, IMHO the lineup will be different than that. -- hokietony 06/17/2020 7:13PM
  Assuming that's the lineup... -- Diehard Hokie 06/18/2020 1:16PM
  Not sure I see it -- Rokie08 06/18/2020 12:45AM
  Ulrey is super short. ** -- Rokie08 06/18/2020 12:36AM
  Sounds like it. ** -- dallasvt 06/18/2020 12:37AM
  Hmm - no Hillegas at 141??? ** -- 133966Hokie 06/17/2020 9:16PM
  I'll bite. -- Hokie Flyer 06/17/2020 4:59PM
  I’ll call 4 AA’s -- Rokie08 06/17/2020 9:04PM
  I can't argue with this, but.... -- Hokie Flyer 06/17/2020 10:05PM

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